Stock Analysis

AVG Logistics (NSE:AVG) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ₹1.20

NSEI:AVG
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AVG Logistics Limited's (NSE:AVG) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ₹1.20 on 30th of October. This takes the annual payment to 0.2% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

Check out our latest analysis for AVG Logistics

AVG Logistics' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. Based on the last payment, AVG Logistics was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 20.1% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 4.3% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
NSEI:AVG Historic Dividend August 17th 2024

AVG Logistics Is Still Building Its Track Record

The company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long at all, so we can't really make a judgement on how stable the dividend has been. This doesn't mean that the company can't pay a good dividend, but just that we want to wait until it can prove itself.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. AVG Logistics has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 20% per annum. A low payout ratio gives the company a lot of flexibility, and growing earnings also make it very easy for it to grow the dividend.

We should note that AVG Logistics has issued stock equal to 16% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

Our Thoughts On AVG Logistics' Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for AVG Logistics (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is AVG Logistics not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.