The board of AVG Logistics Limited (NSE:AVG) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 1st of January, with investors receiving ₹1.20 per share. This payment means the dividend yield will be 0.5%, which is below the average for the industry.
AVG Logistics' Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. AVG Logistics is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 33.5% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 6.4% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
View our latest analysis for AVG Logistics
AVG Logistics Doesn't Have A Long Payment History
The dividend has been pretty stable looking back, but the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This makes it tough to judge how it would fare through a full economic cycle. Since 2023, the dividend has gone from ₹1.00 total annually to ₹1.20. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.5% a year over that time. Investors will likely want to see a longer track record of growth before making decision to add this to their income portfolio.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. AVG Logistics has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 34% per annum. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.
An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 10% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Regularly doing this can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.
Our Thoughts On AVG Logistics' Dividend
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for AVG Logistics (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AVG
Slight risk and slightly overvalued.
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