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₹7.98 - That's What Analysts Think Vodafone Idea Limited (NSE:IDEA) Is Worth After These Results
It's been a pretty great week for Vodafone Idea Limited (NSE:IDEA) shareholders, with its shares surging 10% to ₹10.37 in the week since its latest quarterly results. It was an okay result overall, with revenues coming in at ₹112b, roughly what the analysts had been expecting. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Vodafone Idea's 18 analysts is for revenues of ₹464.3b in 2026. This would reflect a satisfactory 5.0% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Losses are forecast to narrow 2.1% to ₹2.34 per share. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of ₹463.0b and ₹2.48 per share in losses. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers were unchanged.
See our latest analysis for Vodafone Idea
The average price target rose 12% to ₹7.98, with the analysts signalling that the forecast reduction in losses would be a positive for the stock's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Vodafone Idea, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹15.00 and the most bearish at ₹4.00 per share. We would probably assign less value to the analyst forecasts in this situation, because such a wide range of estimates could imply that the future of this business is difficult to value accurately. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Vodafone Idea's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Vodafone Idea's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 10% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 1.3% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.1% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Vodafone Idea to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion is that the analysts made no changes to their forecasts for a loss next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Vodafone Idea going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here..
That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Vodafone Idea (at least 3 which make us uncomfortable) , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:IDEA
Good value with slight risk.
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