GTL Infrastructure Limited's (NSE:GTLINFRA) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business
GTL Infrastructure Limited's (NSE:GTLINFRA) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Telecom industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Our free stock report includes 1 warning sign investors should be aware of before investing in GTL Infrastructure. Read for free now.View our latest analysis for GTL Infrastructure
How Has GTL Infrastructure Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at GTL Infrastructure over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on GTL Infrastructure will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on GTL Infrastructure will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For GTL Infrastructure?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as GTL Infrastructure's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.7%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 8.8% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 4.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that GTL Infrastructure's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's no surprise that GTL Infrastructure maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for GTL Infrastructure that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.