Stock Analysis

Here's Why Bharti Airtel (NSE:AIRTELPP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NSEI:AIRTELPP
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Bharti Airtel Limited (NSE:AIRTELPP) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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How Much Debt Does Bharti Airtel Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Bharti Airtel had debt of ₹1.41t at the end of June 2024, a reduction from ₹1.66t over a year. However, it also had ₹132.7b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.28t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AIRTELPP Debt to Equity History October 8th 2024

A Look At Bharti Airtel's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Bharti Airtel had liabilities of ₹1.44t due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹1.89t due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹132.7b as well as receivables valued at ₹50.8b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹3.15t.

Bharti Airtel has a very large market capitalization of ₹9.96t, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Even though Bharti Airtel's debt is only 1.8, its interest cover is really very low at 2.5. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Bharti Airtel grew its EBIT by 2.6% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bharti Airtel's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Bharti Airtel recorded free cash flow worth 63% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Bharti Airtel is not finding it easy, given its interest cover, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that it has an adequate capacity to convert EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Bharti Airtel's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Bharti Airtel is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.