Stock Analysis

Centum Electronics Limited's (NSE:CENTUM) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%

NSEI:CENTUM
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The Centum Electronics Limited (NSE:CENTUM) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. The annual gain comes to 218% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Centum Electronics may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Centum Electronics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:CENTUM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2024

What Does Centum Electronics' Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Centum Electronics has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Centum Electronics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Centum Electronics would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 4.0% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 34%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Centum Electronics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does Centum Electronics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Centum Electronics' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It's clear to see that Centum Electronics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Centum Electronics (including 1 which is potentially serious).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Centum Electronics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Centum Electronics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.