The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Tridhya Tech Limited (NSE:TRIDHYA) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Tridhya Tech
What Is Tridhya Tech's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Tridhya Tech had debt of ₹350.4m, up from ₹245.3m in one year. However, it does have ₹7.14m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹343.3m.
How Healthy Is Tridhya Tech's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Tridhya Tech had liabilities of ₹150.1m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹268.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹7.14m as well as receivables valued at ₹192.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹219.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Tridhya Tech has a market capitalization of ₹826.7m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Tridhya Tech's net debt is 4.1 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 19.4 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Notably, Tridhya Tech made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of ₹72m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tridhya Tech will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last year, Tridhya Tech actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
Neither Tridhya Tech's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Tridhya Tech is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Tridhya Tech (including 2 which are a bit concerning) .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TRIDHYA
Tridhya Tech
Provides full-service software development services in India and internationally.
Acceptable track record with mediocre balance sheet.