Stock Analysis

We Think Tera Software (NSE:TERASOFT) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NSEI:TERASOFT
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Tera Software Limited (NSE:TERASOFT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Tera Software

What Is Tera Software's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Tera Software had ₹605.4m of debt, an increase on ₹546.1m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹100.4m, its net debt is less, at about ₹505.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TERASOFT Debt to Equity History September 9th 2022

How Healthy Is Tera Software's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tera Software had liabilities of ₹1.61b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹57.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹100.4m as well as receivables valued at ₹2.01b due within 12 months. So it can boast ₹443.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Tera Software's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Tera Software shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.4), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.93 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Tera Software saw its EBIT tank 40% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tera Software will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tera Software saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Tera Software's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at staying on top of its total liabilities; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Tera Software's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Tera Software (3 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.