Earnings Not Telling The Story For Tata Consultancy Services Limited (NSE:TCS)

It's not a stretch to say that Tata Consultancy Services Limited's (NSE:TCS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 25x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

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Recent times haven't been advantageous for Tata Consultancy Services as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

Tata Consultancy Services' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 6.6% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 30% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.0% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Tata Consultancy Services is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Tata Consultancy Services' P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Tata Consultancy Services currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Tata Consultancy Services that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.