Orient Technologies Limited's (NSE:ORIENTTECH) 39% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
Orient Technologies Limited (NSE:ORIENTTECH) shares have had a horrible month, losing 39% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Orient Technologies' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 26x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
The earnings growth achieved at Orient Technologies over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this respectable earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Orient Technologies
Is There Some Growth For Orient Technologies?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Orient Technologies' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 19% last year. EPS has also lifted 28% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that Orient Technologies' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Orient Technologies looks quite average now. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Orient Technologies revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Orient Technologies that we have uncovered.
You might be able to find a better investment than Orient Technologies. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ORIENTTECH
Orient Technologies
Provides information technology services in India and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.