Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds KPIT Technologies Limited (NSE:KPITTECH) But Growth Is Lacking

NSEI:KPITTECH
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KPIT Technologies Limited's (NSE:KPITTECH) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Software industry in India, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.2x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for KPIT Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:KPITTECH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 9th 2024

How KPIT Technologies Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for KPIT Technologies as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think KPIT Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like KPIT Technologies' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 56% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 103% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 23% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it concerning that KPIT Technologies is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does KPIT Technologies' P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It comes as a surprise to see KPIT Technologies trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for KPIT Technologies with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on KPIT Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether KPIT Technologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.