Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Hinduja Global Solutions Limited's (NSE:HGS) Low P/S
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x Hinduja Global Solutions Limited (NSE:HGS) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the IT companies in India have P/S ratios greater than 4x and even P/S above 9x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Hinduja Global Solutions
How Hinduja Global Solutions Has Been Performing
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Hinduja Global Solutions recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hinduja Global Solutions, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hinduja Global Solutions' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 27% overall from three years ago. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 8.2% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we understand why Hinduja Global Solutions' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Hinduja Global Solutions' P/S
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
It's no surprise that Hinduja Global Solutions maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Hinduja Global Solutions has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hinduja Global Solutions might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:HGS
Hinduja Global Solutions
Provides business process management services in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, India, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.