Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At Hinduja Global Solutions Limited (NSE:HGS) Hampers Share Price

NSEI:HGS
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Hinduja Global Solutions Limited (NSE:HGS) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the IT companies in India have P/S ratios greater than 4.1x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Hinduja Global Solutions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:HGS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 4th 2024

What Does Hinduja Global Solutions' Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for Hinduja Global Solutions recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Hinduja Global Solutions will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hinduja Global Solutions' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Hinduja Global Solutions' Revenue Growth Trending?

Hinduja Global Solutions' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 14% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 7.3% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we understand why Hinduja Global Solutions' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On Hinduja Global Solutions' P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's no surprise that Hinduja Global Solutions maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hinduja Global Solutions, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hinduja Global Solutions, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hinduja Global Solutions is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.