To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Trent (NSE:TRENT) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Trent, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.076 = ₹5.4b ÷ (₹77b - ₹6.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Thus, Trent has an ROCE of 7.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 12%.
See our latest analysis for Trent
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Trent compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Trent.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Trent Tell Us?
In terms of Trent's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 7.6% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 322% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
On a side note, Trent has done well to reduce current liabilities to 8.5% of total assets over the last five years. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk.
The Bottom Line
In summary, Trent has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 418% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Trent (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) that you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Trent might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TRENT
Trent
Engages in the retailing and trading of apparels, footwear, accessories, toys, games, and other products in India.
Exceptional growth potential with flawless balance sheet.