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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Brand Concepts Limited's (NSE:BCONCEPTS) 27% Share Price Plunge
Brand Concepts Limited (NSE:BCONCEPTS) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 31% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may still consider Brand Concepts as a stock to avoid entirely with its 63.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Brand Concepts over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Brand Concepts
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Brand Concepts, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Brand Concepts' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 38%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 768% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that Brand Concepts' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price drop, Brand Concepts' P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Brand Concepts revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Brand Concepts you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Brand Concepts might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:BCONCEPTS
Brand Concepts
Manufactures and retails bags, travel gear, and fashion accessories in India and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet slight.