Pansari Developers Limited's (NSE:PANSARI) 107% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 18, 2021
NSEI:PANSARI
Source: Shutterstock

Pansari Developers Limited (NSE:PANSARI) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 107% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

After such a large jump in price, Pansari Developers' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 55.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 20x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Pansari Developers certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Pansari Developers

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NSEI:PANSARI Price Based on Past Earnings November 19th 2021
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Pansari Developers will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Pansari Developers' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Pansari Developers' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 35%. The latest three year period has also seen a 16% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Pansari Developers is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Pansari Developers' P/E?

Pansari Developers' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Pansari Developers currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Pansari Developers has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Pansari Developers. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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