Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In TARC Limited's (NSE:TARC) P/S

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 15.7x TARC Limited (NSE:TARC) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Real Estate companies in India have P/S ratios under 7.8x and even P/S lower than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for TARC

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:TARC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 12th 2024

How Has TARC Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at TARC over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on TARC's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like TARC's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 60% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 43% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that TARC is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does TARC's P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of TARC revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for TARC you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of TARC's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TARC might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:TARC

TARC

Engages in the real estate activities and construction business in India.

Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.

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