Stock Analysis

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Piramal Pharma Limited (NSE:PPLPHARMA) Price Target To ₹161

NSEI:PPLPHARMA
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Last week, you might have seen that Piramal Pharma Limited (NSE:PPLPHARMA) released its quarterly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.1% to ₹138 in the past week. The result was fairly weak overall, with revenues of ₹20b being 2.4% less than what the analysts had been modelling. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for Piramal Pharma

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NSEI:PPLPHARMA Earnings and Revenue Growth February 2nd 2024

Following the latest results, Piramal Pharma's five analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹92.7b in 2025. This would be a notable 18% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Piramal Pharma forecast to report a statutory profit of ₹3.76 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹93.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹3.74 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

With the analysts reconfirming their revenue and earnings forecasts, it's surprising to see that the price target rose 29% to ₹161. It looks as though they previously had some doubts over whether the business would live up to their expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Piramal Pharma at ₹180 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹130. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Piramal Pharma's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 14% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 9.5% per annum over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 10% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Piramal Pharma to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Piramal Pharma analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Piramal Pharma (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Piramal Pharma is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.