Stock Analysis

Mankind Pharma Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

NSEI:MANKIND
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It's been a good week for Mankind Pharma Limited (NSE:MANKIND) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 2.2% to ₹2,727. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of ₹31b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Mankind Pharma surprised by delivering a statutory profit of ₹16.28 per share, a notable 14% above expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for Mankind Pharma

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NSEI:MANKIND Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Mankind Pharma's eleven analysts is for revenues of ₹124.5b in 2025. This would reflect a notable 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be ₹52.21, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹116.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹53.78 in 2025. Overall it looks as though the analysts were a bit mixed on the latest results. Although there was a a notable to revenue, the consensus also made a small dip in its earnings per share forecasts.

The analysts also upgraded Mankind Pharma's price target 13% to ₹2,781, implying that the higher revenue expected to generate enough value to offset the forecast decline in earnings. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Mankind Pharma at ₹3,300 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹2,275. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Mankind Pharma's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 28% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 17% per annum over the past year. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Mankind Pharma to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Mankind Pharma going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.