Stock Analysis

Jubilant Pharmova Limited (NSE:JUBLPHARMA) Surges 25% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

NSEI:JUBLPHARMA
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The Jubilant Pharmova Limited (NSE:JUBLPHARMA) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. The annual gain comes to 103% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Even after such a large jump in price, Jubilant Pharmova's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in India, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.1x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Jubilant Pharmova

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:JUBLPHARMA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 24th 2024

How Jubilant Pharmova Has Been Performing

Jubilant Pharmova could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Jubilant Pharmova's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Jubilant Pharmova's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.7% last year. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.8% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 13%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jubilant Pharmova's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Jubilant Pharmova's P/S

Jubilant Pharmova's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Jubilant Pharmova's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Jubilant Pharmova has 4 warning signs (and 3 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.