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Getting In Cheap On Saregama India Limited (NSE:SAREGAMA) Is Unlikely
Saregama India Limited's (NSE:SAREGAMA) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 47.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 30x and even P/E's below 16x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Saregama India as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Saregama India
Is There Enough Growth For Saregama India?
Saregama India's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 3.4% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 17% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 22% per year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 22% each year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it interesting that Saregama India is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Saregama India's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Saregama India currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Saregama India, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SAREGAMA
Saregama India
Operates as an entertainment company in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.
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