Stock Analysis

Here's Why PVR (NSE:PVR) Can Afford Some Debt

NSEI:PVRINOX
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that PVR Limited (NSE:PVR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for PVR

How Much Debt Does PVR Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that PVR had ₹11.0b of debt in March 2021, down from ₹12.9b, one year before. However, it does have ₹7.52b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹3.49b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:PVR Debt to Equity History July 21st 2021

How Strong Is PVR's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, PVR had liabilities of ₹11.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹45.4b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹7.52b and ₹383.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹48.8b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹79.0b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if PVR can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year PVR had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 92%, to ₹2.8b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While PVR's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₹9.1b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₹5.3b of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for PVR (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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