Stock Analysis
We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Affle (India)'s (NSE:AFFLE) Earnings
Following the solid earnings report from Affle (India) Limited (NSE:AFFLE), the market responded by bidding up the stock price. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.
View our latest analysis for Affle (India)
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Affle (India) issued 5.2% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Affle (India)'s historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
How Is Dilution Impacting Affle (India)'s Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
Affle (India) has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 121% in that time. But EPS was only up 107% per year, in the exact same period. And at a glance the 22% gain in profit over the last year impresses. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 19% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Affle (India) shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Affle (India)'s Profit Performance
Each Affle (India) share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Affle (India)'s statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Affle (India) has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore this.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Affle (India)'s profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AFFLE
Affle (India)
Provides mobile advertisement services through information technology and software development services for mobiles in India and internationally.