Stock Analysis

Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers' (NSE:TNPL) Dividend Will Be Reduced To ₹1.00

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NSEI:TNPL

Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers Limited (NSE:TNPL) has announced that on 27th of October, it will be paying a dividend of₹1.00, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. This means the annual payment is 1.8% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers

Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers' Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. However, prior to this announcement, Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.

EPS is set to fall by 7.1% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 28%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.

NSEI:TNPL Historic Dividend September 11th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ₹6.00 total annually to ₹4.00. This works out to be a decline of approximately 4.0% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. In the last five years, Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers' earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 7.1% per annum. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.

Our Thoughts On Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers' Dividend

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We don't think Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.