Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Tamilnadu Petroproducts (NSE:TNPETRO) Stock Five Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 105% Gain Today

NSEI:TNPETRO
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When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For instance, the price of Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited (NSE:TNPETRO) stock is up an impressive 105% over the last five years. On top of that, the share price is up 13% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 21% in the last three months.

See our latest analysis for Tamilnadu Petroproducts

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During five years of share price growth, Tamilnadu Petroproducts achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 10% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 15% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:TNPETRO Earnings Per Share Growth December 29th 2020

Dive deeper into Tamilnadu Petroproducts' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Tamilnadu Petroproducts's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Tamilnadu Petroproducts, it has a TSR of 123% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Tamilnadu Petroproducts shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 20% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 17% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Tamilnadu Petroproducts (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

We will like Tamilnadu Petroproducts better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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