Stock Analysis

Is Texmo Pipes and Products (NSE:TEXMOPIPES) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:TEXMOPIPES
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Texmo Pipes and Products Limited (NSE:TEXMOPIPES) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Texmo Pipes and Products

How Much Debt Does Texmo Pipes and Products Carry?

As you can see below, Texmo Pipes and Products had ₹456.0m of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had ₹92.0m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹364.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TEXMOPIPES Debt to Equity History March 9th 2021

How Healthy Is Texmo Pipes and Products' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Texmo Pipes and Products had liabilities of ₹993.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹301.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹92.0m and ₹524.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹678.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹878.8m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Texmo Pipes and Products's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.5 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.3 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. One way Texmo Pipes and Products could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 18%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Texmo Pipes and Products's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Texmo Pipes and Products recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Texmo Pipes and Products's EBIT growth rate was a real positive on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Texmo Pipes and Products's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Texmo Pipes and Products is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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