Stock Analysis

Here's Why Tata Steel Long Products (NSE:TATASTLLP) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:TATASTLLP
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Tata Steel Long Products Limited (NSE:TATASTLLP) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Tata Steel Long Products

How Much Debt Does Tata Steel Long Products Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Tata Steel Long Products had ₹24.7b of debt in September 2020, down from ₹30.4b, one year before. On the flip side, it has ₹5.40b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹19.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TATASTLLP Debt to Equity History December 14th 2020

How Strong Is Tata Steel Long Products's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tata Steel Long Products had liabilities of ₹15.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹26.4b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹5.40b in cash and ₹756.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹35.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹22.6b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Tata Steel Long Products would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Tata Steel Long Products shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.3), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.25 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Tata Steel Long Products is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of ₹562m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Tata Steel Long Products's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Tata Steel Long Products actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

On the face of it, Tata Steel Long Products's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Tata Steel Long Products has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Tata Steel Long Products is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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