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What Tata Steel Limited's (NSE:TATASTEEL) P/S Is Not Telling You
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Metals and Mining industry in India, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Tata Steel Limited's (NSE:TATASTEEL) P/S ratio of 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Tata Steel
What Does Tata Steel's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Tata Steel's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Tata Steel will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tata Steel?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Tata Steel's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.8%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 46% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.5% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 12% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Tata Steel is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Tata Steel's P/S Mean For Investors?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Tata Steel's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Tata Steel (2 can't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tata Steel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:TATASTEEL
Tata Steel
Engages in the manufacture and distribution of steel products in India and internationally.
Moderate growth potential second-rate dividend payer.