Stock Analysis

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Sumitomo Chemical India's (NSE:SUMICHEM) Soft Earnings

NSEI:SUMICHEM
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Sumitomo Chemical India Limited's (NSE:SUMICHEM) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.

View our latest analysis for Sumitomo Chemical India

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:SUMICHEM Earnings and Revenue History June 3rd 2024

Zooming In On Sumitomo Chemical India's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Sumitomo Chemical India has an accrual ratio of -0.15 for the year to March 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₹6.3b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of ₹3.70b. Sumitomo Chemical India shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Sumitomo Chemical India's Profit Performance

Sumitomo Chemical India's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Sumitomo Chemical India's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 7.0% annually, over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Obviously, we love to consider the historical data to inform our opinion of a company. But it can be really valuable to consider what other analysts are forecasting. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Sumitomo Chemical India's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sumitomo Chemical India is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.