Stock Analysis

Sudarshan Chemical Industries (NSE:SUDARSCHEM) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:SUDARSCHEM
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited (NSE:SUDARSCHEM) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Sudarshan Chemical Industries

What Is Sudarshan Chemical Industries's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Sudarshan Chemical Industries had debt of ₹5.03b, up from ₹4.13b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹426.5m, its net debt is less, at about ₹4.60b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:SUDARSCHEM Debt to Equity History January 18th 2021

A Look At Sudarshan Chemical Industries' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sudarshan Chemical Industries had liabilities of ₹6.86b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹3.61b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹426.5m in cash and ₹3.39b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹6.65b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Sudarshan Chemical Industries shares are worth a total of ₹34.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

We'd say that Sudarshan Chemical Industries's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.9), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 13.4 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Notably Sudarshan Chemical Industries's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. We would prefer to see some earnings growth, because that always helps diminish debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sudarshan Chemical Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sudarshan Chemical Industries recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Neither Sudarshan Chemical Industries's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its EBIT growth rate gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. We think that Sudarshan Chemical Industries's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Sudarshan Chemical Industries is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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