Subdued Growth No Barrier To Sikko Industries Limited (NSE:SIKKO) With Shares Advancing 37%
Despite an already strong run, Sikko Industries Limited (NSE:SIKKO) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 37% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, Sikko Industries' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 28x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Sikko Industries has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Sikko Industries
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sikko Industries' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For Sikko Industries?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Sikko Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 36%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 7.3% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sikko Industries is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Sikko Industries have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Sikko Industries currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Sikko Industries you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Sikko Industries. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SIKKO
Sikko Industries
Manufactures and trades in bio-agro chemicals, pesticides, fertilizers, seeds, sprayers, packaging, machineries, and FMCG products for agriculture in India and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.