Stock Analysis

Shree Cement Limited's (NSE:SHREECEM) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

NSEI:SHREECEM
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Shree Cement Limited's (NSE:SHREECEM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.8x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 33x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Shree Cement has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Shree Cement

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SHREECEM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 20th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shree Cement will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Shree Cement's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 19% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.9% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shree Cement is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Shree Cement's P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Shree Cement currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shree Cement.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shree Cement, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.