Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Sagardeep Alloys Limited's (NSE:SAGARDEEP) 27% Share Price Climb

NSEI:SAGARDEEP
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Sagardeep Alloys Limited (NSE:SAGARDEEP) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 71% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in India's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Sagardeep Alloys as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Sagardeep Alloys

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SAGARDEEP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 20th 2024

What Does Sagardeep Alloys' Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for Sagardeep Alloys recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sagardeep Alloys, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Sagardeep Alloys' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 15% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 52% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Sagardeep Alloys is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Sagardeep Alloys' P/S?

Sagardeep Alloys' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Sagardeep Alloys revealed its three-year revenue trends looking similar to current industry expectations hasn't given the P/S the boost we expected, given that it's lower than the wider industry P/S, When we see industry-like revenue growth but a lower than expected P/S, we assume potential risks are what might be placing downward pressure on the share price. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Sagardeep Alloys that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.