Stock Analysis

Does Ramkrishna Forgings (NSE:RKFORGE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:RKFORGE
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (NSE:RKFORGE) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ramkrishna Forgings

What Is Ramkrishna Forgings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Ramkrishna Forgings had ₹13.1b of debt in March 2023, down from ₹16.1b, one year before. However, it also had ₹555.9m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹12.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:RKFORGE Debt to Equity History July 18th 2023

A Look At Ramkrishna Forgings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ramkrishna Forgings had liabilities of ₹14.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹9.38b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹555.9m in cash and ₹7.79b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹15.7b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Ramkrishna Forgings has a market capitalization of ₹77.3b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Ramkrishna Forgings's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.8 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.1 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Importantly, Ramkrishna Forgings grew its EBIT by 41% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ramkrishna Forgings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Ramkrishna Forgings created free cash flow amounting to 4.3% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Ramkrishna Forgings was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us cold feet. Considering this range of data points, we think Ramkrishna Forgings is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Ramkrishna Forgings that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ramkrishna Forgings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.