The Ramco Cements Limited (NSE:RAMCOCEM) has announced it will be reducing its dividend payable on the 12th of September to ₹2.00, which is 20% lower than what investors received last year for the same period. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 0.2%, which is lower than the average for the industry.
Ramco Cements' Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. However, Ramco Cements' earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 195.5%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 4.7% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
See our latest analysis for Ramco Cements
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ₹1.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ₹2.50. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.6% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Ramco Cements might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Over the past five years, it looks as though Ramco Cements' EPS has declined at around 15% a year. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
In Summary
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Ramco Cements (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about. Is Ramco Cements not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:RAMCOCEM
Ramco Cements
Manufactures and sells cement, ready mix concrete, and dry mortar products in India.
Reasonable growth potential second-rate dividend payer.
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