Stock Analysis

Rama Steel Tubes (NSE:RAMASTEEL) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

NSEI:RAMASTEEL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Rama Steel Tubes Limited (NSE:RAMASTEEL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Rama Steel Tubes

What Is Rama Steel Tubes's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Rama Steel Tubes had ₹798.8m in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₹162.5m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹636.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:RAMASTEEL Debt to Equity History January 5th 2021

How Healthy Is Rama Steel Tubes' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Rama Steel Tubes had liabilities of ₹1.03b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹230.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹162.5m as well as receivables valued at ₹575.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹519.1m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹849.8m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Rama Steel Tubes' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Rama Steel Tubes shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.4), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.2 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that Rama Steel Tubes saw its EBIT drop by 19% over the last twelve months. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Rama Steel Tubes will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Rama Steel Tubes reported free cash flow worth 12% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

To be frank both Rama Steel Tubes's EBIT growth rate and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow fails to inspire much confidence. We're quite clear that we consider Rama Steel Tubes to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Rama Steel Tubes (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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