Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Rajratan Global Wire Limited (NSE:RAJRATAN) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Rajratan Global Wire
What Is Rajratan Global Wire's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Rajratan Global Wire had debt of ₹1.99b, up from ₹1.88b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹119.6m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.87b.
A Look At Rajratan Global Wire's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Rajratan Global Wire had liabilities of ₹2.06b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.03b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹119.6m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.73b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.25b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Rajratan Global Wire has a market capitalization of ₹40.9b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Rajratan Global Wire's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 11.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Fortunately, Rajratan Global Wire grew its EBIT by 4.7% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Rajratan Global Wire's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Rajratan Global Wire reported free cash flow worth 10% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
On our analysis Rajratan Global Wire's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to convert EBIT to free cash flow. Considering this range of data points, we think Rajratan Global Wire is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Rajratan Global Wire , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:RAJRATAN
Rajratan Global Wire
Engages in manufacturing and sale of tyre bead wires in India and Thailand.
High growth potential with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.