Pyramid Technoplast's (NSE:PYRAMID) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
Pyramid Technoplast Limited's (NSE:PYRAMID) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.
Check out our latest analysis for Pyramid Technoplast
Examining Cashflow Against Pyramid Technoplast's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Pyramid Technoplast has an accrual ratio of 0.40 for the year to March 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹478m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹293.4m. It's worth noting that Pyramid Technoplast generated positive FCF of ₹166m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Pyramid Technoplast.
Our Take On Pyramid Technoplast's Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Pyramid Technoplast didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Pyramid Technoplast's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 42% over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Pyramid Technoplast (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Pyramid Technoplast's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:PYRAMID
Pyramid Technoplast
An industrial packaging company, manufactures and markets polymer-based molded products for chemical, agrochemical, specialty chemical, and pharmaceutical companies for their packaging applications in India.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.