Stock Analysis

Does Privi Speciality Chemicals (NSE:PRIVISCL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:PRIVISCL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Privi Speciality Chemicals Limited (NSE:PRIVISCL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Privi Speciality Chemicals

How Much Debt Does Privi Speciality Chemicals Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Privi Speciality Chemicals had ₹3.82b of debt in September 2020, down from ₹4.84b, one year before. On the flip side, it has ₹247.9m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹3.57b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:PRIVISCL Debt to Equity History February 1st 2021

How Strong Is Privi Speciality Chemicals' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Privi Speciality Chemicals had liabilities of ₹4.21b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹2.50b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹247.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.89b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹4.57b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Privi Speciality Chemicals shares are worth a total of ₹27.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.4 and interest cover of 4.5 times, it seems to us that Privi Speciality Chemicals is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Unfortunately, Privi Speciality Chemicals's EBIT flopped 20% over the last four quarters. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Privi Speciality Chemicals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Privi Speciality Chemicals recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Privi Speciality Chemicals's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Privi Speciality Chemicals's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Privi Speciality Chemicals , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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