What Pondy Oxides And Chemicals Limited's (NSE:POCL) 36% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Pondy Oxides And Chemicals Limited (NSE:POCL) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 119% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Since its price has surged higher, Pondy Oxides And Chemicals may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.4x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 27x and even P/E's lower than 15x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

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For example, consider that Pondy Oxides And Chemicals' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Pondy Oxides And Chemicals

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Pondy Oxides And Chemicals will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Pondy Oxides And Chemicals?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Pondy Oxides And Chemicals would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Pondy Oxides And Chemicals' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Pondy Oxides And Chemicals' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Pondy Oxides And Chemicals revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Pondy Oxides And Chemicals (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.