Stock Analysis

Petro Carbon and Chemicals (NSE:PCCL) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:PCCL
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Petro Carbon and Chemicals Limited (NSE:PCCL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Petro Carbon and Chemicals

What Is Petro Carbon and Chemicals's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Petro Carbon and Chemicals had ₹1.38b of debt, an increase on ₹746.5m, over one year. However, it does have ₹399.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹981.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:PCCL Debt to Equity History January 10th 2025

How Strong Is Petro Carbon and Chemicals' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Petro Carbon and Chemicals had liabilities of ₹1.08b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹579.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹399.3m as well as receivables valued at ₹415.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹842.6m.

Given Petro Carbon and Chemicals has a market capitalization of ₹4.83b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

We'd say that Petro Carbon and Chemicals's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.6), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 14.9 times, makes us even more comfortable. It is just as well that Petro Carbon and Chemicals's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 24% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Petro Carbon and Chemicals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Petro Carbon and Chemicals's free cash flow amounted to 35% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Neither Petro Carbon and Chemicals's ability to grow its EBIT nor its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Petro Carbon and Chemicals is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Petro Carbon and Chemicals has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.