Stock Analysis

Market Cool On PCBL Limited's (NSE:PCBL) Earnings

NSEI:PCBL
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PCBL Limited's (NSE:PCBL) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 60x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

PCBL hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for PCBL

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:PCBL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 16th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on PCBL.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like PCBL's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.7% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 94% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's peculiar that PCBL's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of PCBL's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for PCBL that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.