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The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (NSE:ORISSAMINE) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
When close to half the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in India have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (NSE:ORISSAMINE) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 29.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Orissa Minerals Development
How Has Orissa Minerals Development Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Orissa Minerals Development has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Orissa Minerals Development, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Orissa Minerals Development's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 66%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 25% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Orissa Minerals Development's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Orissa Minerals Development revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Orissa Minerals Development you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.
If you're unsure about the strength of Orissa Minerals Development's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ORISSAMINE
Orissa Minerals Development
The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited mines and markets iron ore and manganese ore in India.
Low with questionable track record.
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