With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.4x Orient Cement Limited (NSE:ORIENTCEM) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 16x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Orient Cement could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Orient Cement
Keen to find out how analysts think Orient Cement's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Growth For Orient Cement?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Orient Cement's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.3% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 58% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 25% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 19% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Orient Cement is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Orient Cement's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Orient Cement, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ORIENTCEM
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.