There's No Escaping Nova Agritech Limited's (NSE:NOVAAGRI) Muted Earnings
Nova Agritech Limited's (NSE:NOVAAGRI) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
For instance, Nova Agritech's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Nova Agritech
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Nova Agritech's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 36% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Nova Agritech is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
What We Can Learn From Nova Agritech's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Nova Agritech maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Nova Agritech (1 is a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Nova Agritech. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nova Agritech might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NOVAAGRI
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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