Stock Analysis

Navin Fluorine International Limited's (NSE:NAVINFLUOR) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

NSEI:NAVINFLUOR
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When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 28x, you may consider Navin Fluorine International Limited (NSE:NAVINFLUOR) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 46x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Navin Fluorine International as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Navin Fluorine International

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:NAVINFLUOR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 27th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Navin Fluorine International's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Navin Fluorine International?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Navin Fluorine International's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.1% gain to the company's bottom line. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 26% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 0.4% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 24% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Navin Fluorine International is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Navin Fluorine International currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Navin Fluorine International that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than Navin Fluorine International. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Navin Fluorine International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.