Stock Analysis

Earnings Miss: Mold-Tek Packaging Limited Missed EPS By 5.5% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (NSE:MOLDTKPAC) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. Revenues of ₹1.9b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at ₹4.11, missing estimates by 5.5%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Mold-Tek Packaging

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:MOLDTKPAC Earnings and Revenue Growth February 12th 2025

Following the latest results, Mold-Tek Packaging's nine analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹9.17b in 2026. This would be a sizeable 21% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 34% to ₹25.13. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹9.37b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹26.93 in 2026. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 7.7% to ₹891. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Mold-Tek Packaging, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹1,635 and the most bearish at ₹656 per share. So we wouldn't be assigning too much credibility to analyst price targets in this case, because there are clearly some widely different views on what kind of performance this business can generate. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Mold-Tek Packaging's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 17% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 13% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 12% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Mold-Tek Packaging to grow faster than the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. They also downgraded Mold-Tek Packaging's revenue estimates, but industry data suggests that it is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Mold-Tek Packaging's future valuation.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Mold-Tek Packaging going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Mold-Tek Packaging you should be aware of.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:MOLDTKPAC

Mold-Tek Packaging

Engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic packaging containers in India.

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

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