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If You Had Bought Maharashtra Seamless (NSE:MAHSEAMLES) Stock Five Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 97% Gain Today
Maharashtra Seamless Limited (NSE:MAHSEAMLES) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 11% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. It has returned a market beating 97% in that time. While the long term returns are impressive, we do have some sympathy for those who bought more recently, given the 25% drop, in the last year.
View our latest analysis for Maharashtra Seamless
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Maharashtra Seamless has made a profit in the past. On the other hand, it reported a trailing twelve months loss, suggesting it isn't reliably profitable. So we might find other metrics can better explain the share price movements.
We doubt the modest 0.9% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. The revenue reduction of per year is not a positive. It certainly surprises us that the share price is up, but perhaps a closer examination of the data will yield answers.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Maharashtra Seamless will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Maharashtra Seamless the TSR over the last 5 years was 109%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Investors in Maharashtra Seamless had a tough year, with a total loss of 25% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 22%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 16%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Maharashtra Seamless has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Maharashtra Seamless is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:MAHSEAMLES
Maharashtra Seamless
Manufactures and sells seamless steel pipes and tubes in India.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.