Stock Analysis

Is Mahamaya Steel Industries (NSE:MAHASTEEL) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:MAHASTEEL
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Mahamaya Steel Industries Limited (NSE:MAHASTEEL) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Mahamaya Steel Industries

What Is Mahamaya Steel Industries's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mahamaya Steel Industries had debt of ₹641.3m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₹691.6m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹126.4m, its net debt is less, at about ₹515.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MAHASTEEL Debt to Equity History December 14th 2020

A Look At Mahamaya Steel Industries's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Mahamaya Steel Industries had liabilities of ₹454.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹419.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹126.4m in cash and ₹125.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹621.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Mahamaya Steel Industries has a market capitalization of ₹1.37b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While we wouldn't worry about Mahamaya Steel Industries's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.3, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.74 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even worse, Mahamaya Steel Industries saw its EBIT tank 49% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Mahamaya Steel Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Mahamaya Steel Industries actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

To be frank both Mahamaya Steel Industries's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Mahamaya Steel Industries stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Mahamaya Steel Industries that you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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