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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Magnum Ventures Limited's (NSE:MAGNUM) 26% Share Price Plunge
Magnum Ventures Limited (NSE:MAGNUM) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 55% in the last year.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Magnum Ventures' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 29x and even P/E's above 54x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Magnum Ventures over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Magnum Ventures
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Magnum Ventures, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Magnum Ventures' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Magnum Ventures' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 49%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Magnum Ventures' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Magnum Ventures' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Magnum Ventures revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Magnum Ventures (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Magnum Ventures. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MAGNUM
Magnum Ventures
Engages in the manufacturing and trading of paper products in India.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet.